Marquette University Law School released a new poll which shows stability in Wisconsin. With just four weeks remaining until the election, the poll gives voters a glimpse into who may win Wisconsin as well as providing candidates a roadmap to navigating the next four weeks. The poll was in the field after the first presidential debate and during President Donald Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis. The biggest story of today’s release is the stability in polling numbers over the course of many months.
Among likely voters polled, 46 percent indicated they will vote for Biden and 41 percent said they will vote for Trump. In September, 47 percent favored Biden and 43 percent favored Trump. As noted last month, polling has remained remarkably consistent since May, with Biden leading four to six points each month.
Other Presidential Race Insight
On the question of who did best in the presidential debate, 41 percent of registered voters said Biden while 20 percent said Trump. 14 percent said both did badly, and 21 percent said they didn’t pay attention.
Following Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis, pollsters asked respondents if they are confident in the vice-presidential candidates’ ability to perform the duties of the president. 56 percent said they were confident in Pence’s ability to do so. 45 percent said they were confident in Harris.
When it comes to decisions in whether to vote in person or absentee, the numbers show Republicans are far more likely to vote in person. 69 percent of Republican respondents said they will vote in person, versus 39 percent of Democrats who said the same.
Of those who say they will vote in person on election day, 54 percent said they will vote for Trump versus 33 percent for Biden. Conversely, of those voting absentee, 67 percent said they will vote for Biden versus 20 percent for Trump.
Additional Top-level Results:
Trump Job Approval
October: 44 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove
September: 44 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
August: 44 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove
Trump Handling of COVID-19 Pandemic
October: 41 percent approve, 56 disapprove
September: 41 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove
August: 40 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove
Should US Senate Vote on Nomination of Coney Barrett Before Election
Yes: 44%
No: 51%
Evers Job Approval
October: 52 percent approve, 42 percent disapprove
September: 51 percent approve, 43 percent disapprove
August: 57 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove
Evers Handling of COVID-19 Pandemic
October: 56 percent approve, 38 percent disapprove
September: 57 percent approve, 38 percent disapprove
August: 61 percent approve, 35 percent disapprove
Should masks be required in public places?
Yes: 72%
No: 26%